Monday, May 25, 2009

Mustika Ratu ( MRAT ) is Attractive

Bloomberg Code: MRAT:IJ
Reuters Code: MRAT.JK

If you are a type of investor who dare to take a position in an unfavorite stock but has strong potential to grow, I bet you will like Mustika Ratu (Bloomberg Code MRAT:IJ, Reuters Code: MRAT.JK). As a company, Mustika Ratu has been priced so low by the market. Its initial IPO was in 1995 with intial price of Rp 2600,00. Today MRAT is trading at Rp 250,00. I do not have data in 1995 to 2005 but I assumed the reason why the market very bearish of this stock is because of its "traditional value". Market thought that MRAT, which is producing traditional cosmetics would not be able to fight against many imported cosmetics with their strong brands names and modern technology. When I noticed that this stock has strong growth history in 2006 to 2008, I started to think that this stock is a potential buy. I would show you the data.

Mustika Ratu (MRAT)

2008

2007

2006

Total Asset (Mio IDR)

354781

315998

291769

Book Value (Mio IDR)

303623

279559

264313

Net Cash Flow (Mio IDR)

10305.8

8349.8

-3121.2

CAPEX (Mio IDR)

-11429

-7426

-5553





Sales (Mio IDR)

307804

252123

226387

Operating Income

25297.8

18435.7

18066.6

Net Income

22290.1

11130

9096.2

Dividend

2225.6

1369.6

0

Total Share

428

428

428





Profitability




ROE

7.34%

3.98%

3.44%

ROA

6.28%

3.52%

3.12%

Operating Profit Margin

8.22%

7.31%

7.98%

Net Profit Margin

7.24%

4.41%

4.02%





Financial Risk




Debt / Equity

16.85%

13.03%

10.39%





Valuation




BV per share

709.40

653.18

617.55

EPS

52.08

26.00

21.25

Sales per share

719.17

589.07

528.94

Cash Flow per share

24.08

19.51

-7.29

DPS

5.2

3.2

0


You could check the BV per share. With today (25 May 09) closed at 250, it is very attractive. Its forward PE ratio less than 3 (In my calculation its full year 2009 EPS would be around 90).

This stock has a very strong growth. Its net income has increased more than 140% since 2006. Its EPS has grown to 52 in 2008 from 26 a year earlier (100% growth).


If the company able to improve its image from "traditional" to "modern" I believe MRAT would be able to continue its sustainable growth in the future. The potential risk that you have to be aware is this stock is not so liquid. You might not be able to sell this stock when you need your money

3 comments:

kc said...

MRAT nya mantap bang, mau lagi dong :D thx banget ya

DeronCapital said...

@KC..
Sama-sama bro.. Kayaknya nanti setelah 2Q 2009 financial report keluar baru sy lihat2 lagi perush yg bagus.. soalnya skrg uda agak sulit cari perush yg bagus.. rata-rata uda fully valued...

Anonymous said...

mr delon, tolong analisanya tentang saham Titan Kimia (FPNI). kayaknya laporan Q2 2009 sangat bagus karena didukung oleh kurs rupiah yang membalikkan rugi kurs di Q1 2009 menjadi laba kurs. dan harga rata2 Crude Oil yang melonjak tajam membuat adanya keuntungan dari persediaan bahan baku yang dimiliki. selain penjualannya yang semakin meningkat tiap triwulan.