Over the last 6 months, the infrastructure sector has been lagging the overall market. If you look at this chart, obviously the last couple of days, ADHI, WIKA, and JSMR have started to chase the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI). I believe this is just the beginning and there is still more potential upside for those stocks.
(Source: Bloomberg.Com)
From valuation point of view, those stocks are also still very cheap. Based on their FY 2009 EPS, I made some projection for their FY 2010 earnings with either 20% or 30% growth.
| FY 2009 | GROWTH | |
| 20% | 30% | |
| 2010F | 2010F | |
ADHI | 94.2 | 113.04 | 122.46 |
JSMR | 146.5 | 175.8 | 190.45 |
WIKA | 33.7 | 40.44 | 43.81 |
Based on the data, the ideal price for 2010 would be:
| PE 10x | PE 12x | ||
| 20% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
ADHI | 1130.4 | 1224.6 | 1356.48 | 1469.52 |
JSMR | 1758 | 1904.5 | 2109.6 | 2285.4 |
WIKA | 404.4 | 438.1 | 485.28 | 525.72 |
Hence, I would recommend you guys to accumulate these infrastructure related stocks.
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